sakaantradelab

The $1,000 Experiment · v4.3b

synced

Total Trades

Win Rate

Total P&L

-207.85

Avg R:R

—

Log a Trade

The discipline of logging builds the discipline of trading.

Date

Time 24h · type, paste, or pick

Symbol / Asset

Market

Direction

Entry Price ($)

Exit Price ($)

Position Size ($)

Actual PnL ($) ← paste from exchange

Calculated PnL ($) ← auto

Fees / slippage / funding ($) ← auto

Stop / targets — optional (SL, TP1/TP2/runner + planned R:R)

Stop Loss ($)

Take Profit ($)

TP1 size (%)

TP2 price ($)

TP2 size (%)

Runner target ($)

Planned R:R

SL and TP feed your R:R and R-multiple analytics — fill them if you want those numbers. Paste the calculator's blended R:R into Planned R:R; analytics compares it to what you actually achieved.

Setup type

Exit reason

Emotion before trade

Followed your plan?

Notes / Lesson learned

Trade History

Click a row to see notes.

Date	Time	Symbol	Dir	Entry	Exit	P&L	Fees	Setup
2026-05-25	04:50	XANUSDT	LONG	0.0099780	0.0097933	-26.97●	Breakout	✗
"Biggest single loss yet (-9.60%). Clean standalone trade, different coin. Sized too big — -$27 on a $281 position."
2026-05-25	01:59	BEATUSDT	SHORT	1.2563000	1.2363363	+31.35●	Breakout	✗
didnt' follow plan, i was tilted and kinda revenged trading on this one, put in 2000$ position, got PnL up to around +200$ but that was during my sleep, TP set at $333 profit (it was a further key level), price reversed but i moved my SL to profit area.
2026-05-25	01:55	BEATUSDT	SHORT	1.2570000	1.2380805	-20.83●	Mean reversion	✗
"Second long. Closed in 18s (01:55:48→01:56:06) — panic exit. Worst-disciplined trade of the hour."
2026-05-25	01:37	BEATUSDT	LONG	1.2854000	1.2693522	-14.82●	Mean reversion	✗
"Flipped LONG after two short losses. Bias reversed on price action, not plan. Stopped -6.59%."
2026-05-25	01:17	BEATUSDT	SHORT	1.2742300	1.29334	-16.01●	Mean reversion	✓
No notes.
2026-05-25	01:10	BEATUSDT	SHORT	1.2378000	1.2587919	-18.82●	Mean reversion	✗
"BEAT short on noise. Stopped -8.83% in 6m. First of 5 BEAT trades this hour — overtrading begins."
2026-05-24	23:33	NEARUSDT	LONG	2.4440	2.4860	-18.39●	Support/Resistance	~
NEAR short — held 20h, peaked at +70% unrealized near TP1 (2.335), reversed fully and stopped out at -35.43% (-$18.39). Critical lesson: TP1 was within reach — scale-out discipline would have banked profit. Let a winner become a loser.
2026-05-24	18:16	SUPERUSDT	LONG	0.1204000	0.1189000	-19.85●	Support/Resistance	~
SUPER long — limit order placed at anticipated bottom, full SL/TP set, filled and stopped out while unattended. Level was wrong, price dipped further. Valid loss — plan was followed, level call was off
2026-05-24	16:07	GRASSUSDT	SHORT	0.5469000	0.5624168	-23.70●	Mean reversion	~
GRASS short — shorted a +18% daily mover mid-trend, no rejection signal, stopped in 22min for -14.54% (-$23.70). Exact setup I was warned against — shorting strength
2026-05-24	01:28	HYPEUSDT	SHORT	58.04600	58.49809	-18.08●	Mean reversion	✗
HYPE short #2 — faded strength again, stopped in 15 min for -8.49% (-$21.90). Third consecutive short fighting an uptrend. Bias flag: shorting because price looks high, not because a level rejected. Wait for the rejection candle.
2026-05-24	00:09	HYPEUSDT	SHORT	60.84800	61.59600	-21.90●	Support/Resistance	~
HYPE short #3 — shorted into strength again, no rejection signal at entry. Stopped out in 1h33m for -6.5% (-$18.08). Same thesis bias: fading rallies without confirmation. Pattern: 4 trades, 4 shorts, 4 losses.
2026-05-23	21:53	HYPEUSDT	SHORT	56.21162	56.78362	-23.32●	Mean reversion	✓
Shorted range ceiling; price broke out long instead of reversing — valid loss, wrong read not a discipline failure. Add volume/momentum confirmation before fading resistance next time. Setup: Support/Resistance. Emotion: calm & focused. Followed plan: yes.
2026-05-23	19:40	BSBUSDT	SHORT	1.2479520	1.2666643	-16.51●	Mean reversion	~
"BSB short — faded a rally, stopped in 20min for -16% (-$16.51), steepest ROI loss yet. Same short-into-strength pattern. Sizing fine (1.75% risk); thesis is the problem. STOP shorting uptrends without a confirmed rejection."

Expectancy & The Experiment

13 trades in. Early signal: expectancy is negative (-15.99/trade), plan adherence is what's being tested. Don't read the balance yet — read it at 30.

Expectancy / trade

-15.99

Profit Factor

0.13

Avg Win

+31.35

Avg Loss

-19.93

Avg R Multiple

-1.02R

Best / Worst R

+-0.9 / -1.1

Current Streak

1L ⚠

Planned vs Actual R

—

Total fees / drag

—

Avg drag / trade

—

Trades w/ drag data

—

Drag as % of size

—

Performance by Setup

Which setups actually make money — your edge, quantified.

Setup	N	Win%	Total P&L	Avg

Performance by Exit Reason

How your trades end — and what each ending costs or earns.

Exit reason	N	Win%	Total P&L	Avg

Equity Curve

R-Multiple Distribution

Cumulative P&L

Wins vs Losses

P&L by Setup

Plan Adherence

P&L by Day & Hour (your death-hour finder)

The Playbook

Amateurs obsess over entries. Professionals obsess over size and stops. This is the part that keeps you in the game.

Position Size Calculator · Binance Futures

Fill the essentials, get your size and leverage. Costs auto-net using sensible defaults — open "Advanced costs" only to fine-tune fees, slippage and funding.

① Account

Account balance ($)

$ ⓘ

Starting ($)

Risk (%)

Leverage cap

② The Trade

Direction

Symbol

Entry price ($)

Stop price ($)

Stop distance (%)

③ Exit Ladder — scale out (click to minimize)

Each leg takes a price (or % move — they auto-sync) and a size % of the position. Set only TP1 at 100% for a single-target trade. The runner's size auto-fills from the leftover; give it a target if you want it counted in R:R, otherwise it free-runs on a trailing stop.

Quick-fill buttons for Size (%). Click the gear to edit their values.

LegPrice ($)% moveSize (%)

TP1

TP2

RUN

Fully allocated to TP1 + TP2 — no runner.

④ Advanced costs — optional (fees · slippage · funding)

Maker fill % (limit orders)

Slippage per side (bps)

Funding rate / interval (%)

Funding interval (hrs)

Expected hold (hrs)

Binance VIP0: maker 0.020% / taker 0.050%, no BNB discount (worst case). Positive funding = longs pay shorts.

$ at Risk

$15.52

Position Size (notional)

$1098

Leverage Needed

1.4x

Total Costs

$1.05

Break-even Move

0.096%

Net R:R after costs

10.86:1

✦ Trade clears all rules — cleared to size.

✓ Risk ≤ 2% 2.0% risked

✓ Leverage ≤ cap 1.4x needed

✓ Blended R:R ≥ 2:1 10.86:1 net

✓ Costs < 10% risk $1.05 costs

✓ Stop defined stop at 0.11229

✓ Liq > stop liq is safe

Take it. Risking $15.52 for a 10.86:1 blended return after all costs. Size $1098 at 1.4x, well inside your 5x cap.

Costs: fees $0.51 + slippage $0.44 (2 bps/side = 0.02%) + funding +$0.11 (you pay) = $1.05 net. You need a 0.096% move just to break even.

Funding drag: paying ~$0.110/8h (≈$0.33/day). The longer you hold, the more it bleeds.

Your calculator inputs auto-save while you work — leave and come back, they're still here. "Pin this plan" (up top) saves a named snapshot you can log later; "Log this trade" jumps to the form pre-filled.

Pinned plans — “use” loads into the calculator, “log” jumps to the log form:

EDENUSDT · Short · @0.0867254 · SL 0.0877391 · R:R 21.08:1

SUPERUSDT · Long · @0.1140 · SL 0.11229 · R:R 10.17:1

The Distribution Breakdown

A+ · the only setup

Your 8-month edge, formalized. For the next 10 trades, this is the only setup you may trade. If a candidate fails the gate, you do not trade — you wait.

⊘ The Gate — read before every trade

Did this coin run ≥80%, distribute with lower highs on the 1D/4h, and CLOSE below a 3+ touch low through my 1D→4h→1h→15m→5m read? If I skipped a level → no trade.

① Pre-conditions — ALL must be true

Coin ran ≥80% on a recent run — exhausted bull, not fresh momentum
Price entered a consolidation / sideways range after the run
Range shows a topping structure — double top or multiple tops
Lower highs grinding down inside the range (distribution)
Price has reached the multi-touch low — 3+ touches within ~3–5%

② Top-down execution — never skip a level

1DContext — the ≥80% run + big distribution structure exists here 4hStructure — range, lower highs, multi-touch low defined here 1hConfirmation — breakdown bias confirmed 15mTrigger — candle CLOSES below the level (not a wick) 5mEntry — precision timing on the close below

③ Risk rules — non-negotiable

Entry

15m CLOSE below the multi-touch low

Stop

Just above the range high (beats the sweep)

Target

Next major support — marked before entry

Size

Fixed 1–2% risk → size to the wide stop

Invalidation

15m closes back above the level → bear trap, exit now (don't wait for stop)

Why the close + range-high stop: the level is where every stop sits. Price often sweeps through to grab liquidity, then reverses. Entering on the close skips most fake wicks; the range-high stop survives the ones that get through. You used to do one or neither — now you do both.

01 · Position Sizing — the only rule that matters

Risk a fixed % of account per trade — not a fixed dollar, never a fixed leverage. 1–2% of equity at risk per trade. You can be wrong 20 times in a row and still have an account.

position size = (account × risk %) ÷ (entry-to-stop distance %)

Your stop distance and leverage derive from this — you don't pick leverage first. Leverage is the tool to hit the right notional size; it is not a risk dial.

02 · The Leverage Trap — your actual problem

20x isn't "more aggressive" — it's a tighter liquidation noose. At 20x isolated you liquidate on a ~5% adverse move. Crypto wicks 5% before breakfast. On BEAT and BILL, your liquidation price sat closer than the invalidation level — a routine wick killed you before the thesis was even wrong. Size down and lever down until liq sits comfortably beyond invalidation.

03 · Stop Placement

The stop goes where the thesis is invalidated — never a round number or a comfortable dollar amount. On a short: above the confluence resistance / structure high. Then size so that distance equals your 1–2% risk. Stop first, size second. Always that order.

04 · Take Profit — scale out, don't hero

Ladder it. TP1: first structural level — take 30–50% off, move stop to breakeven (now it's a free trade). TP2: major level — take another chunk. Runner: let a small piece ride a trailing stop for the fat tail. This solves both ways traders lose: cutting winners early, and round-tripping winners to zero.

05 · Reward : Risk — nothing below 2:1

At 2:1 you can be right only 40% of the time and still make money. The edge was never your entries — it's whether you survive at sane size long enough to let them play out.

06 · The one-liner

You can have a mediocre entry and a great outcome with proper sizing — and a perfect entry and a blown account with 20x and no stop. You've got the chart-reading. The leverage is the leak. Fix that and the rest compounds.

Distribution Breakdown Screener

The top of your funnel only: coins that ran ≥ threshold, pulled back, and are now ranging near a multi-touch low on the daily. It does the math — you do the 4h→1h→15m→5m read. An empty or short list is the tool working; your setup is meant to be rare.

Min run % 80%

Lookback (days) 30d

Max dist. to low 6%

Off high ≥ 25%

Min daily vol ($M) $5M

Idle. Hit Scan — first run fetches ~400 perps, takes ~20–40s.

Candidates, not trades. A coin here only means "ran hard, pulled back, sitting near a repeated daily low." You still confirm the topping structure, the lower highs, and the 15m close below the level with your own eyes — that judgment is your edge. Distance and touches are computed on daily candles; intraday levels you mark yourself. Data: Binance public Futures API (the exchange you trade on — most accurate levels), called from your browser, nothing stored. Chart links open the coin on TradingView web.

Rules & Contract

The $1,000 experiment. Read before every trade. The experiment survives a broken rule — it cannot survive an unlogged one.

Pre-trade checklist

This is my ONE defined setup (exhaustion-fade short at confluence resistance, 1H confirmation). If not, I don’t take it.I sized this in the calculator at 2% of my CURRENT balance (recalculated today).My stop is placed where the thesis dies — not a round number or comfortable dollar.Net R:R after costs is at least 2:1 (the calculator’s net number).My stop and TP1 are set on the exchange NOW, before I look away.I am calm — not tired, angry, bored, or chasing. If not, I close the app.

Checklist: 0 / 6 acknowledged

Hard Limits — Non-Negotiable

⛔ Max 2 losing trades per day. Hit two, done for the day. (tilt)
⛔ Weekly stop at −6%. Drop 6% in a week, pause until next week. (drawdown)
⛔ Max 2–3 positions open at once. Crypto correlates. (correlation)
⛔ Stop only moves toward profit, never wider. (sacred)
⛔ NEVER size up to recover a loss. The exact behavior that blew past accounts. (kryptonite)
⛔ −30% kill-switch ($700). Stop and audit the log — to diagnose, not quit.
⛔ No fading an ATH without a confirmed rejection. Wait for the wick + close back inside structure. Shorting the touch is guessing. (confirmation)
⛔ Entry must be a resting limit, not a chase. If price ran past your level, the trade's gone — let it go. (no FOMO)
⛔ Every entry has a stop set on the exchange before you look away. No mental stops. (no exceptions)
⛔ One setup only. If it isn't your defined edge, it's gambling with extra steps. (discipline)

Discipline of Record

Log every trade — thesis on entry, exit on close. Log "Followed plan?" honestly; a broken rule gets logged AS broken. Weekly review: filter plan="no", study the triggers. Same rules after a win as a loss — there's no hot hand. Sample size: 50 trades minimum, 100 ideal, before reading any verdict. The trade count is the finish line, not the balance.

Cloud Sync · Cloudflare

Your journal syncs automatically via your personal Cloudflare Worker — no third-party holds your data, no rate limits, works across all devices.

Worker: sakaantradelab-sync.tranhieu204.workers.dev
Status: Connected — sync fires automatically on every save.

Local Backup

Manual export / import. Works offline. The JSON file is your master record.

Passphrase

Local gate so a casual visitor to your public URL can't read your log.

New passphrase

Danger Zone

Wipe all local trades. If synced, pull from cloud to restore.

Locked

Log a Trade

Trade History

Expectancy & The Experiment

Performance by Setup

Performance by Exit Reason

Equity Curve

R-Multiple Distribution

Cumulative P&L

Wins vs Losses

P&L by Setup

Plan Adherence

P&L by Day & Hour (your death-hour finder)

The Playbook

Position Size Calculator · Binance Futures

The Distribution Breakdown

01 · Position Sizing — the only rule that matters

02 · The Leverage Trap — your actual problem

03 · Stop Placement

04 · Take Profit — scale out, don't hero

05 · Reward : Risk — nothing below 2:1

06 · The one-liner

Distribution Breakdown Screener

Rules & Contract

Pre-trade checklist

Hard Limits — Non-Negotiable

Discipline of Record

Cloud Sync · Cloudflare

Local Backup

Passphrase

Danger Zone